Why I’m Ghosting Credit Spreads Until the Chaos Clears

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I haven’t been placing credit spreads lately…

It’s not because I’ve stopped looking. It’s because the market has been too chaotic to trade them responsibly.

Apple (AAPL) is a perfect example. The chart has been erratic, with sharp moves and no consistent rhythm. It’s the kind of price action that turns credit spreads into a coin flip instead of a calculated edge.

And it’s not just AAPL. Even gold, which was trading higher, reversed midday and sold off without warning. When both equities and commodities behave like that, it signals an unstable market.

The Setup Versus the Environment

There was a recent moment where I considered placing a spread near the 200-day moving average. The setup looked solid. But the more important question wasn’t about the chart. It was about overnight risk.

The answer was clear: Too much uncertainty.

A major address was scheduled for 9 p.m. ET, and there were additional geopolitical developments that could trigger immediate volatility. That kind of environment can disrupt even the most carefully structured trade.

This is what traders often overlook. You can have a textbook setup, support at a key level, clean structure and everything aligned, and still need to walk away if the environment doesn’t support the strategy.

Credit spreads perform best in stable or moderately trending markets where risk can be defined and managed. When unpredictable catalysts and large swings dominate, the equation changes. It’s no longer about whether the trade can work. It’s about whether the risk is acceptable.

What This Means for You

If you’ve been wondering why I have been quiet on credit spreads, now you know. It’s not inactivity. It’s discipline.

When conditions improve, when AAPL or other names return to more stable patterns and headline risk subsides, opportunities will return. Until then, treating volatility casually is a mistake.

Waiting is a decision. Watching is a position. Knowing when not to trade is just as important as knowing when to act.

To better trading,

Alex Reid
WealthPin

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*This is for informational and educational purposes only. There is inherent risk in trading, so trade at your own risk. 

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Disclaimer: We develop tools and strategies to the best of our ability, but we can’t guarantee the future. The profits and performance shown are not typical; we make no claims about future earnings, and you may lose money. From 1/15/25 through 2/4/26, the win rate was 83.7%, with an average winner of 43% and an average net return of 16% for winners and losers over a 5-day average hold time.

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