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Friday, August 15th
“The only way to deal with an unfree world is to become so absolutely free that your very existence is an act of rebellion.”
– Camus
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Markets Today
🌏 Asia-Pacific: Mixed
🇪🇺 Europe: Up
🇺🇸 United States: Mixed
🛢️ Oil: Down
⚡Crypto: Mixed
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Major Market Events
- Trump, Putin set for Alaska summit— First face-to-face since Ukraine war began
- Retail sales climb 0.5% in July — Consumer spending shows signs of steady rebound
- Dow futures rise on Buffett boost — UnitedHealth shares jump after Berkshire buy
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🤔 My Thoughts
How I Use Options Flow for Quick Base Hits
Cheap contracts, stacked orders, fast exits
I like small wins I can repeat. Today I want to show you how I take quick shots using options flow — and I’ll use AEO as the example so you can see the whole thing, end to end.
The big idea (plain English)
When a lot of option orders hit the same strike and date all at once, and today’s volume is bigger than the open interest, that tells me fresh money is piling in. I don’t chase every blip. I filter for cheap contracts, close strikes, and a fast exit plan.
My checklist for a quick flow trade
- Keep it cheap. I try to buy contracts under $1.00. That keeps my risk small and my head clear.
- Don’t go crazy OTM. I want the strike close to price—about 1–5% out-of-the-money. If it’s 20–30% OTM, I skip it. That’s a lotto ticket.
- Look for “stacks.” I want 2–3+ prints at the same strike and expiry within minutes. One order is noise; stacks are intent.
- Volume > OI If today’s volume on that contract is bigger than open interest, it’s new positioning, not churn.
- Time window. My best shots happen in the first 90 minutes. After that, I get pickier.
- Entry. If the contract just spiked, I wait for a small pullback and then buy. No pullback? I pass.
- Exit rules. I take base hits. If I’m up ~20–40%, I pay myself. If I’m down ~30–40%, I’m out. No “hope and hold.”
- Time stop. If nothing happens after 15–30 minutes, I scratch it.
- No overnights. These are day trades. I close it before the bell.
AEO example from yesterday’s show (for learning, not a signal)
I bought the AEO $13 calls (near-dated, August 29th) around $0.62 after I saw stacked orders hit and volume jump past OI.
The stock ticked up, the contract popped, and I took a base hit fast. Could I have squeezed more? Maybe.
I’d rather book the win and move on to the next setup.
Why this works for me
- Tiny risk per trade. One contract. Sleep-at-night size.
- Clear edge. I follow fresh flow into near strikes and let the crowd push me out with a small win.
- Tight leash. If it stalls or slips, I’m gone. I can always re-enter on the next stack.
Risks: Spreads can widen. Flow can be wrong. News can flip the tape. That’s why I size small, use a stop, and don’t hold overnight.
Click here to watch the on-demand replay!
And don’t forget to register your spot here to join us next time we go live!
To Better Trading,
Alex Reid
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