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Every trading day adds something to your toolbox, and this morning added a painful but necessary reminder.
I took a 20% loss on my Nasdaq-100 (QQQ) strategy because I pushed when the market was telling me to wait.
The open was choppy. My gut said nothing clean was forming, but I ignored it.
Instead of staying patient, I forced a setup and used the five-minute chart when the 15-minute would have given me the structure I needed.
What made it worse was how convincing the candles looked in real time. Wick after wick kept showing up on the downside.
In my head, each one looked like failed selling — sell prints that could not follow through. It felt like buyers were defending every dip, and I kept telling myself the breakout was coming.
But in chop, those wicks can be nothing more than noise, and I let them lure me in.
What the Market Was Really Saying
Layer on the fact that QQQ was not moving cleanly. The S&P 500 (SPY), iShares Russell 2000 ETF (IWM) and Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF Trust (DIA) were all pushing down, while QQQ — thanks to Apple (AAPL) — kept trying to hold up.
It created a weird tug-of-war where the Qs would perk up, get dragged back down, then perk up again. That divergence made every long signal look better than it really was.
Eventually QQQ finally broke higher, but by then I was already out and on my way to run an errand.
What Others Saw That I Didn’t
Here is the part that really drives the lesson home: The strategy worked for other traders.
One of my students, Paul, used the exact same setup and came out green. Another stuck to the 15-minute and a simple 5 and 10 SMA, which gave clean signals and kept him out of the chop entirely.
And it is not just on QQQ. Others are already experimenting with the strategy on different instruments.
One trader even tested it on United States Oil Fund (USO) and it worked beautifully.
Seeing it perform across assets is a good sign that the framework is adaptable — but adaptability does not replace discipline. Execution still decides everything.
Sharpening the Edge
I am still gathering data on this approach and I want more reps — not just from my trades but from the community.
If you are testing it on QQQ, SPY or anything else, keep at it and let me know how it behaves. The more inputs we get, the sharper the edge becomes.
That is the mindset I am leaning into.
There are always new edges to learn and always new tools to add to the box.
Losses like today are not setbacks when they show you exactly where to refine, where to slow down and where to tighten your process.
These traders’ wins proved the strategy works. My loss proved I did not. Both lessons matter.
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To better trading,
Alex Reid
WealthPin
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*This is for informational and educational purposes only. There is inherent risk in trading, so trade at your own risk.
P.S. Would You Believe It?
With all the chaos so far in 2026, one highly accurate secret grounded in momentum has called winning market opportunities across different stocks…
I’m talking about a 34% return on Sunrun in 4 days, 81% on Huntsman Corp in a day and even 102% on Carnival Corp in 5 days. And this same secret is flagging an opportunity on the next ticker!

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Disclaimer: We develop tools and strategies to the best of our ability, but no one can guarantee the future. The profits and performance shown are not typical to any individual;, and you may lose money. From 1/15/25 through 2/4/26, the win rate was 83.7%, with an average winner of 43% and an average net return of 16% for winners and losers over a 5-day average hold time.


