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I’ll be honest here… There’s really no structural thing I can tell you about the markets right now.
Sure, we’re below the 100-day moving average. I can draw lines, mark levels, talk support and resistance all day. But the truth is simple — it’s all war.
The war ends, we see what happens. The war doesn’t end, we have more sell-offs in the future. Honestly that’s my take — I don’t know what else to say…
What makes this even more complicated is that the market seems to be waiting. It’s like everyone is holding their breath to see whether this whole situation is just a short-term skirmish or something that spirals into more.
That anticipation alone has its own gravitational pull on price action.
And underneath all of it is the question nobody can answer but everyone is asking: Is it actually going to end?
That uncertainty hangs over every chart and every trade, and until there’s clarity, the technicals are playing second fiddle to geopolitics.
The Fog Is Real
The information environment isn’t helping.
I’m on X (formerly Twitter) constantly, and something feels throttled. There’s a thick fog of war and barely any real news coming out of Iran. Nobody seems to know what’s going on with any confidence.
In the Ukraine war, there was so much signal intelligence floating around that you could practically track battles in real time. People mapped troop movements down to the minute.
None of that exists here, which means one of the usual edges traders rely on — real-time open-source intel — just isn’t available.
When you can’t get clear information on the very thing driving market moves, you have to adjust.
The usual tools don’t vanish, but they lose authority. You respect that and adjust your expectations.
How Long Does This Last?
A trader I respect estimated that this could last at least a month, maybe six weeks.
Not a forecast — just a framework.
It suggests thinking in weeks, not days, and accepting that the noise won’t disappear overnight.
So you stay small. You keep your powder dry. You watch the news as closely as you watch the tape.
And you accept that sometimes humility is a better compass than any indicator.
I’ll keep tracking levels, marking lines and watching for shifts in tone.
But until the geopolitical picture clears, I’m not pretending my charts have answers they don’t.
P.S. Something big is coming this weekend, and I’m keeping the details under lock and key for our active members only…
I’m walking through a new way to forecast the next move before the market even opens the next day. Check your member portal here immediately for the private invite.
To better trading,
Alex Reid
WealthPin
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*This is for informational and educational purposes only. There is inherent risk in trading, so trade at your own risk.Â
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