The Doomer Strategy That Cost Traders Years of Gains
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I’ve been seeing Michael Burry’s name pop up again — this time he’s shorting Nebius Group (NBIS) along with everything else under the sun.
And I have to ask: Does this guy actually make money anymore?
Look, I’m not trying to throw shade at Burry. He’s clearly smart. But here’s the thing about the big call: You only get it right once in your lifetime.
Burry nailed 2008. Roaring Kitty nailed GameStop. Those moments are career-defining because they’re rare — not repeatable.
Even brilliant people can’t be right over and over again. There are very few exceptions. Stanley Druckenmiller is one of them — that’s why he’s considered so good.
He’s delivered consistently across decades. But that’s the exception, not the rule.
The Permabear Pattern
Burry has effectively called 15 of the last three recessions. Eventually he’ll be right again, and then we’ll hear, “I told you so.”
It’s the same pattern you see with a lot of these bear-focused guys — Peter Schiff comes to mind.
I actually like Schiff. He’s entertaining. But man, these guys are doomers.
What they miss is that markets structurally want to go up because there’s no other game in town.
Investors need somewhere to put their money. Companies grow earnings. Innovation creates value. That’s the market’s natural bias.
To produce a catastrophic sell-off, something has to overwhelm that upward pressure. You need a genuine crisis — not just a scary headline, a bad quarter or another prediction that the end is near.
What This Means for Your Trading
If you’re constantly positioned for the apocalypse, you’re fighting the tape and betting against structural momentum. You might catch one big move in your career, but you could give back years of gains waiting for it.
I’m not saying ignore risk. I’m saying don’t build your entire strategy around doom. Use moving averages, watch the close, manage your size and let the market tell you when things are actually breaking.
When price closes below key levels and stays there, that’s your signal to get defensive. Until then, don’t let the permabears talk you out of what the chart is showing you.
We’re breaking down more setups like this — live, with no hype — every weekday.
To better trading,
Alex Reid
WealthPin
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*This is for informational and educational purposes only. There is inherent risk in trading, so trade at your own risk.
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